After a great two days of non-stop hoops, you can’t ask for much more than two more days of games. Vegas is expecting more biting of nails today, as the largest line as of noon was Pitt -7.5 over Butler. Not a lot of previewing to do today, as you’re probably pretty familiar with the winners from Thursday, but I’d like to dive into the only double-digit seed favored today and talk about Gonzaga vs BYU. It’s scheduled for a 7:45 tip-off and the 11-seeded Bulldogs are one point favorites over Jimmer and the Cougars.
When Gonzaga handled St. Johns in the first round and I saw this match-up would go down, I planned on writing a post telling you to take whatever points BYU was giving and bet heavy on the Zags. Well, obviously it’s Gonzaga giving some points, but I’d still lean that way.
First things first, let’s talk about Jimmer. BYU can only go as far as he can carry them and Gonzaga will have their hands full. The Zags are no strangers to great scorers though. This season they have played four of the nation’s most prolific scorers: Kansas State’s Jacob Pullen, Baylor’s LaceDarius Dunn, Xavier’s Tu Holloway, and St. Johns guard Dwight Hardy. Those four stars shot 26-64 (41%) and the stars scored an average of 21 points against the Zags. Now Jimmer is the best scorer in the country so the task stands taller, but the key is to make him take a ton of shots to get his 30 and Gonzaga has enough experience to get it done. In all three BYU losses this year, Jimmer scored 30, but needed 26, 26, and 25 shots to get there. So they don’t to stop Jimmer, just frustrate him and make him earn his 30 points to the detriment of the team.
Of course, the other big story surrounding BYU will play into this one as well. The absence of Brandon Davies does not bode well for the Cougars in stopping the Gonzaga bigs. The Zags dominated St. Johns on the boards and will look for a similar recipe tonight. Bulldog center Robert Sacre had a bad shooting night against the Red Storm, but gathered 4 of the Zags’ 12 offensive boards. BYU gave up 14 offensive boards in their conference tourney loss to SDSU.
BYU impressed me against Wofford and when they are hitting threes, they can beat anybody. Gonzaga was even more impressive however. The Zags made 28 field goals in round one and 20 of those were assisted. They didn’t get a great game from Sacre, but Steven Gray had 16 points, 6 boards, and 5 assists, while guard Marquis Carter had his best scoring game of the season with 24.
Gonzaga has shown it can slow down prolific scorers enough to allow their multiple offensive weapons to win them games. I do expect BYU to keep it close, but I think Gonzaga ices it from the line down the stretch and moves on to the second weekend. Read more »


South Florida at Florida, 12:21 ET Saturday, ESPN3- Might be tough to catch this one, but ESPN3 is highly recommended. Great picture quality, easy to use, and you can watch other games at the same time on your TV! So while you’re watching Georgia and South Carolina on ESPN2, fire up the computer and see if Florida’s offense can turn it around after a scary-bad performance last week against Miami OH. Florida is certainly teasing us by playing the wrong Miami, then the wrong school from southern Florida in back-to-back weeks (just play the Hurricanes!), but the Bulls should provide a good test. Under Skip Holtz, QB BJ Daniels and the offense provide much more of a scare than the Redhawks did last week. If Florida struggles offensively again, we could be in for a big upset. Daniels was able to knock off Florida State last year in his first start, so at least he has some relevant experience. No matter the result, it will be interesting to see how Florida responds after a rough first week.
