Monthly Archives: January 2010

UConn/Michigan: Let It Be 1987 Deja Vu, Is That Too Much Too Ask?

January 17, 2010
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A day after the JCB made a triumphant return to the hoops handicaping world, and the Big 10 race carved out clear front runners for first and last place, the hometown Michigan Wolverines get their chance on the court to make their statement of the weekend.  Michigan isn’t swimming anywhere near the Bubble right now, but a home win over brand name power UConn could make up a lot of strokes in a hurry. Its been an uneven season for the Wolverines, at beast. Even though they appear to be on the uptick, the Wolverines havent had anything in the way of a winning streak to distinguish itself record wise. With 15 games remaining, the Wolverines need to begin piling up some wins, something like a 2 out of every three clip, the rest of the way to become a sure fire NCAA tournament. At this point, its hard to buy into the fact that the Wolverines have the chops to pull that off. But you can only win the game in front of you and then move on.

Speaking of which, the position and challenge ahead for Michigan today has me drifting into days of yore. Not quite as far back as the days when MJV prowled campus in his crank-started model-T. But still pretty far back. Twenty-four whole years. Almost to the date, the Michigan basketball program faced similar straights they do today: struggling to make a name for itself, NIT-only dreams and hosting an elite Big East program in a nationally televised game. Let’s take a trip into the Maize and Blue Wayback Machine in advance of this afternoon’s tipoff.

It was January 18, 1987 and the Michigan basketball team, one of the country’s elite hoop programs the previous team seasons, was struggling. They only lost a combined nine games the previous two seasons, but Michigan had already lost six times in the 86-87 season. They had won back to back Big 10 titles, but were off the a 2-3 start in Big 10. The fact those wins were home celebrations over bitter rivals Ohio State and Michigan State didnt really inspire a ton of hope that Michigan was going to be among the league’s top shelf for a third year in a row. They were non competitive in double digit road losses at Illinois and Purdue. And Indiana thwarted a Michigan comeback and broke the hearts of the Crisler crowd when Steve Alford went end to end to score a game winning bucket at the buzzer. Throw in December losses at home to Western Michigan and on a nuetral floor to Middle Tennessee State and people weren’t exactly spending January dreaming of any March Madness.

The fanbase was not overly restless with the performance. People were frustrated by the team’s play, but most of us were still  feeling fat, satisfied and pretty after the first Big 10 championship in four years on the gridiron that academic year. The Wolverines lost the Rose Bowl, but the good times from a season with wins over Notre Dame, Michigan State and Ohio State (something the school has done only three times since: 1991, 1997 and 2003) still washed over the faithful.

Besides, with hoops, it was expected to be a transistion year. There was strong sentiment and expectation that the ensuing seasons would be championship ones. Virtually everyone on this squad would return and sprinkled into the mix would be two of the best recruits in the country, Rumeal Robinson and Terry Mills. The duo were ready-made players, expected to be the forward/point guard combo to rule the Big 10 in future seasons. Unfortuneatly, they were spending their freshmen seasons in 1987 in street clothes after failing to qualify to Prop 48 standards on their SAT tests coming out of high school. Future championships seemed assured with them waiting in the wings, so Michigan fans were ok to take their lumps that season with a team that just didnt have enough to be elite that season in the Big 10. Read more »

Playoffs? Playoffs! (Sunday Game One, Vikes/Cowboys Pick)

January 16, 2010
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So, yesterday didnt go so well on the gridiron. A 1-2 record, carving into the profits from the hoop post. I think the Ravens were there the whole way. I wonder what would have happed had Garcon not tomahawked the ball out of Ed Reed’s hands during that INT return. Oh well. Onto today, but like with today’s basketball picks we’re downgrading the value of the plays. The goal of the weekend was to make cash. We’re ahead. We’re putting aside some winnings and playing with the rest.

Minnesota -2 over Dallas………I know. I understand. I get it. The Cowboys are going to the Super Bowl. I hear you loud and clear. But, I’m always the last off the bandwagon. We’ve done a 180 on the Pokes the last month. I think the Vikings win this game by a touchdown. With the Vikes’ DL handing Dallas some of its own medicine. Regardless, Favre vs Romo. Bigtime running backs. Defensive playmakers. It ought to be the most compelling game of the weekend. I’ll take the home team and the cheap price

Give me some time to come up with something creative with the weekend finale between the Jets and Chargers. Line is steaming to the chalk, by the way, as its now up to -8.5. Expect the update around halftime or so of this one.

You may have noticed no playoff post last week. I have to admit I was a bit strung out from the constant action of bowl season. I had surprise plans crop up which I preferred doing anyway and eschewed finding time to bother posting anything about wildcard weekends. Besides, the three rematches really didnt juice me at all. Anyway, my picks were 2-2, going 0-2 Saturday, 2-0 Sunday. This weekend’s game do inspire me. All four games distinguish themselves as heavyweight bouts between teams that I think can win it all if they stay on their rolls.

Arizona +7 at New Orleans, O/U 57, 4:15, Fox

Baltimore +7 at Indianapolis O/U 44, 8:00, CBS Read more »

Basketball Picks: Update Tuesday 1/19: Jackets Over Tigers…..Again

January 16, 2010
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Tuesday, Jan 19

We march forward. Surviving another day. I like Northwestern catching a dozen points on the road againt OSU. But, I love Georgia Tech, a cheap favorite, at home against Clemson. It’s a rematch of sorts of the ACC Championship Game in football. And, Like that one, I love the Jackets.

Georgia Tech -2 over Clemson……1 Unit…….we’re 8-0 in this thread. Tech has one of the sneakier buildings to get out of with a win. And, this isnt a average Tech team. I said this Saturday, I’ll say it now. This team appears to be peaking right now against better competition. I’ll ride it out in coin flip situations, especially against a team as flaky as Clemson is on the road

Ramle On Wreck!

Monday, January 18

We dont intend to make playing every day a habit. Quit laughing. Seriously, though, we cant stop on a roll. 7-0 since the thread started, so its at least one pick a night until the streak ends. After getting Michigan and Indiana in the books yesterday, the feeling is pretty bold up here. How much so? We’ll we’re calling for the top ranked Horns to go down tonight.

KSU -1 over Texas, 1 Unit……had you asked two months ago, I would have said the Horns take the L in Manhattan. I dont think too many, if any at all, leave KSU with a win this year. This is a talented team. A buzzed home atmosphere pushing them through–and we saw how critical home cooking from the fans helped UM and IU. Clemente and Pullen will be too much for Texas to handle in the backcourt. They combine for over 40 and the Wildcats knock the Horns from the unbeaten ranks.

Sunday, 1/17 Read more »

Big 10 Saturday: First And Last Place Up For Grabs

January 16, 2010
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I excluded the hometown Big 10 from today’s Bubble News because I think today’s conference slate deserves its own post. Four of the top five teams in the league go head to head today and a third game between a league contender and bubble  club dot the schedule. When I’m not watching the NFL playoffs, you can bet my eye wont stray too far from the Big 10 games.

Penn State at Iowa, 1:00, BTN. PSU -3.5

A compelling day of league hoops begins with the worst game of the day and one of the least attractive matchups of the season.  The clubs are a combined 0-8 in league play. This is the battle of the basement. I’m not sure even the greatness of Talor Battle can keep me interested in this one. This hypothesis on Iowa hoops is way more entertaining than the game itself. Penn State as a women’s volleyball school always cracks me up

Illinois at Michigan State, 3:30, CBS. MSU -10.5

Now, this is serious business. And the complete opposite of the Iowa/PSU. Instead of last place, some of the marbles are on the line in East Lansing today. These teams are both 4-0 and the last two unbeatens standing in the league race. Illinois is a testament to how ridiculous it is to put a whole lot of stock in the shape of the bubble as its perceived by the Bracket Matrix in mid January. Despite being in first place in the Big 10, the Illini are out of the Matrix field, the seventh to last out and only on one -quarter of all mocks. The Illini are talented, but the blending of key holdovers from last season and one of the nation’s top recruiting classes has led to some uneven play as the kinks get worked out. I think their better days lay ahead of them. Hopefully for them, in the very near future. They’ve beat up on the bottom part of the league in their 4-0 start, but play at MSU and host Purdue in the next four days. They’re looking to make their claim for the Big 10 title. A week ago, they came from 13 behind to beat Indiana, dominating at the foul line. They might need a different formula today agianst the Spartans defense that doesnt commit many fouls. MSU needs to defend home court. The have a grueling middle portion of the league slate where they play 7 of 10 on the road. They need to collect these home wins to help insure they’ll still be a factor in the league race after that 10-game stretch. A win today will do that as only a home game with Iowa is on tap before that stretch. A 6-0 mark heading into that stretch will look nice. From a Matrix standpoint, the Spartans are a solid 3-seed.

Purdue at Northwestern, 5:30, BTN. PU -6.5

First place might not be on the line, but this contest is every bit as important as Illinois/MSU. The Wildcats had put themselves in great position during non league play. But a 1-3 start in league play, with home losses already to MSU and Wisconsin, have been hits to their resume. The loss to the Badgers was a lost opportunity and Northwestern couldnt take advantage of a shorthanded Badger team that  missed 10 straight shots at one point in the second half. They’re 11th last left out of the Matrix field with support coming from 4 mock brackets. A home win over Purdue reasserts their chase for a bid. It might not be enough to elevate them into the Matrix during the next round of updates, but it will help position them in the proverbial  ‘.500 record in league play will get you a bid’ spot. As for the Boilers, the good news is they are a #2 seed right now. The bad news is they’ve lost two games in a row. Horrible second halves against Wisco and OSU have question marks suddenly lingering over this team. They won a pair of nailbiters over the Wildcats last year. If Northwestern can get a little revenge today, the Boilers would fall three behind in the loss column out of first place. Ouch. My preseason pick to win the league would be in full on chase mode to get the trophy. Read more »

Bubble News: Year of the Atlantic 10?

January 16, 2010
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Will this be the year of the Atlantic 10? This mid-majorish league has always struggled for notoriety and respect in the shadow of the Big East and the other BCS league footprints its schools play in. Outside of the top couple of teams, most dont pay attention to this league. This year could change all that. The A10 could become a lightning rod of discussion as the winter plods along. This league coule push for as many as five bids in the final field. Would that be a coup? Consider the league has never had more than three bids and has been limited to just two invitees in three of the last four seasons. More than half the bids this league has earned the last five years have been netted by either Xavier or George Washington. It’s telling about the league’s current-day status that of three teams currently in the Bracket Matrix, neither the Musketeers or Colonials are part of it.

Xavier does figure prominently, however, in the game of the day in the league when they look to continue their recent surge in a home against Dayton (11:00, ESPN. X -6.5). A three game winning streak to start league play has boosted Xavier to 11-5 and into first place in the league. It hasnt boosted them enough yet to register in the Matrix. But they’re close. They are the first team out of the matrix and are on about a third of the mock brackets. After playing Dayton, Xavier matches up with Temple. The next five days will go a long way in telling us what kind of position Xavier will be in for the rest of the season. Dayton, meanwhile, is a nine-seed and near unanimous selection. Does the A10 have three bids up for grabs which the set of contenders will just play hot potatoe with all season? Or, is there room for more?

 Other A10 games to keep an eye on today include Rhode Island at Fordham (2:00, URI -17). URI is a matrix 1-seed and just dropped 100 points on St Joe’s in their last time out. Now Fordham is a last place team, but dont forget URI positioned themselves for a bid late into the regular season, but upsets down the stretch against the bottom part of the league popped their bubble.

Lasalle at Richmond (4:00, Rich -9). The Spiders are among the last four out. LaSalle was a team I thought to be a darkhorse in this league when the season began. They’ve struggled to a 9-7 mark, but a win today not only minimizes the candidacy of Richmond, but also gives LaSalle a 3-1 league mark. Darkhorse status regained, perhaps?

UMass at Temple (2:00, Temple -15). The Owls are hovering in lock status ar a 5-seed and unanimous selection. Temple has made the field the last two seasons by virtue of winning the automatic bid in the league tournament. If they keep winning this month, they probably wont need those type of heroics to get into the field. Read more »