UPDATED TO INCLUDE NIGHT GAMZ
ULM +14 over Troy……..Sun Belt Title realy on the line tonight, both from a straight up and ATS standpoint. Both clubs sport 5-2 marks against the spot. Im taking the puppy. ULM is 16-6 ATS in SBC play, mostly when catching points. Hey, thats what they’re doing tonight. I am in.
South Carolina +6 over Vols……Not sure if the Vols are ready to handle to role of legit favorite. Not sure if they have the offense to blowout out a good team like South Carolina
Okie State +10 over Texas…..This game was close last year in Austin. It will be close tonight. I think we see repeat of last year: Longhorns win, Cowboys cover.
MSU -3 over Minny……this was detailed in Big 10 Picks. Ony really good teams have topped the Spartans this season. This just in: LOLphers are not a good team.
UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 3:30 WINDOW OF GAMES
Colorado blows, Purdue swallows. Too harsh? Too harsh! No way, man, this aint no family site.
Iowa is not much better, but I have a strong shot and breaking even here. I took Iowa -10 for the second half, which means I actually have the Hawks +4 for the game. Hey, instead of being down 27, I am only down 6. A split would be nice. Sadly, my QB is still Rick Stanzi.
Alright, picks for the 3:30 window
Temple +7 over Navy…..I hate betting against Navy, but this is a good, experience Temple team that is competing for a MAC title and a bowl game. They have enough to stick with the Middies. Not only do we have a Steele Dog in the Owls, but they’ve been money all year with a 5-1 ATS record. Navy, maybe a letdown after beating a Wake team who topped them in last year’s bowl game? Can you have a letdown after playing Wake? Anyway, Owls have covered nine of their last 12 when catching points. And, theyve covered five of six head to head against Navy, although they were catching a lot more points in those games
Central Michigan +6 over Boston College…….The Chips covered twice for us back in September cataching points in non conference games with BCS teams. Those were at Arizona and at Michigan State, two teams that I think are better than BC. Let’s grab the hat trick this afternoon. Both teams are 11-3 ATS combined this year, so something’s gotta give.
Kansas +7 over Texas Tech, Over 66…..have I really got all the way to Halloween without taking a Red Raider Over? Time to correct that. As far as taking the Jayhawks on the side, always play against home favorites of less than 2 TDS if they lose outright the week before as double digit favorites.
Duke +7.5 over UVA…….its the ACC. Take the Dog. Watch the game go down to the final minute. Repeat
Iowa State +6 at TAMU……Both off big wins. I’m taking the underdog.
Mich/Illini Over 53.5…..in addition to the 2 Big 10 Pick plays going off the board, we add this Over. The Over is 13-7-1 in the Rodriguez era in Ann Arbor. The Under hit last week. Today, we play the percentages. And a pair of lousy defenses.
UGA +15.5 over Florida…..I am a sucker for dogs in rivalry games. And double digit dogs in SEC play. The Gators have not been as sharp as last year. UGA’s whole season rides on this. They lose, but closer than the experts think.
Idaho over La Tech, to win on the -140 moneyline……Idaho bounces back with a high scoring win. This is the fourth week out of five, we’ve been on the Vandals. Here’s hoping the 2-1 mark, jumps up to 3-1.
Happy Halloween! Let’s hope their are way way way more treats out there on the Big Board today than than treats for us. Costumes? Well, I am dressed up as a chalk eating mother fucker over at MGoBlog for my weekly edition of Big 10 Picks.
We’re laying the wood with Iowa -17 over Indiana, Penn State -16 over NW, Michigan -7 over Illinois and MSU -3 over Minny. Our lone pup is the charging Purdue Boilermakers +7.5 over Wisconsin. Usually I take 3-4 dogs and 1-2 favorites in this column, but on Halloween we’ve altered our identity a bit.
As for the rest of today’s card, I will update this post throughout the day. For now, a quick word on Nooners, which include Iowa and the Pudoin’ Boilermakers off that Big 10 Card.
Not a whole lot of action at noon. Most of it for diehards, like ourselves, only. I game that intrigues me is the NMSU/Ohio State game. The Bucks are 44-point favorites, but the O/U is just 47.5. Do we take the Dog and Over, knowing the if the Aggies just net a safety I can do no worse than a split. Or is that what the Bookies want me to do? Are they tipping their hand and factoring a Buckeye shutout? If feel there is money to be made here, but the problem is that figuring out the oddsmakers loopholes are about as tough as figuring out the loopholes in the tax code. Until the Book’s Rosetta Stone gets unearthed, I’ll pass, but watch with uusual interest.
Also worth pointing out is the amazing run of the UConn Huskies. Two storylines here. One is obvious. What do these kids have left. They’ve been through the emotional ringer coping with the Jaspar Howard death. They buried him this week in his hometown. I think the whole nation was transfixed watching them battle tooth and nail against West Virginia last week before losing in the final minute. I’m pulling for them bigtime today because they desevre somethine good to happen to them, even if its something as simple as winning a football game. The other storyline is less obvious. Unless you hang out here, of course. The Huskies are the only team in the country that is undefeated against the Vegas spot. Today, they bear the burden of heavy chalk, laying 7-points to Rutgers. Can the money machine keep going forward? I’m not willing to bet on this outcome, but I’ll be watching the Huskies are they pursue the mythical ATS National Championship.
As far as games I like, there are three Steele Dogs going off the board. Two are home dogs. So, we’ll take a stab even though both clubs killed us last week: Colorado +43over Missouri and Auburn +7 over Ole Miss. Before last week, these clubs had been a combined 3-0 for me when taking them under the Steele Dog theory of betting on Phil Steele’s Most Improved Teams when they’re underdogs. We’re willing to give each a shot again this afternoon as both return home to friendlier confines. The CU line was down from 4 this morning. Meanwhile, the Auburn line had been 5 for a couple of days. But, it was 6.5 this morning and I bought the ‘hook’ to get +7. It cost a little extra juice, so instead of betting 55 to 50, for example, I had to put up 60 to win 50.
The third is NCST +10.5 over Florida State. This is more a bet against the Noles as I doubt this outfit, despite possibly pulling their season out of the garbage bin last week, is ready to play the role of heavy chalk. The Pack have always been a solid play in this series, covering four in row overall and four in row in Tallahassee. I worry about the Pack’s flimsy D and the fact that they have not been close to the outfit last year. They won me a lot of cash last year. Not so much this year, but I just cant quit them. Both of these defenses suck, so if you’re up for playing a high total, you might want to take a look at the 64.5
The Noon Picks: Iowa -17, Purdue +7.5, CU +3, Auburn +7, NCST +10.5…..I guess I am not going to be in my chalk eating mother fucker costume until later.
Speaking of later, at some point in the middle of these nooners, I will take a break and post my picks for the 3:30 window of games. Good luck and have fun wathcing the games!
